24 April 2005

...while wondering what ever happenned to Estes Kefauver

The NBA Playoffs are, to me. like a political convention of the 50's and 60's. Delegates went in with their favorite candidate. When it became aparent that their guy would not win, they threw their support to the next-most-palatable guy. Now this did not mean they no longer wanted their guy to win, just that they accepted reality and went went with the "lemons to lemmonade" strategy.

Now nothing will ever cause me to want anyone other than the Dallas Mavericks to win the NBA champtionship. Nothing. In the event hoever that they are eliminated in this year's campaign, here are the "candidates" in this year's tourney I would support, in order of preference:

1 - DALLAS MAVERICKS

2 - PHOENIX SUNS

Stevie Wonder gave us all he had for six years, and he didn't want to leave. Jim Jackson, my favorite non-Mav, was traded there mid-season too. And this is a team that does not keep bad guys. JKidd beat his wife, he got traded. Penny Hardaway waves a gun, gone. I respect that.

3 - DENVER NUGGETS

Former Mavs Eduardo Najera and Greg Buckner, former Mav office-type Kiki Vandegwegh outweigh the presence of the hated Furious George. This is a likeable team that needs to win it soon before we all figure out what a bad guy Carmello Anthony probably is going to turn out to be.

4 - MIAMI HEAT

No matter what he does for the remainder of his carreer, Kobe Bryant will never shake the stigma of a Miami Heat championship won this season. That alone damned-near makes me want them to win it more than Dallas. Throw in the outrageous talent that is Dwayne Wade and this is a team I would not mind seeing win it all.

5 - INDIANA PACERS

Although he would be team captain of the "guys who would make me seriously reconsider being a Mavs fan" team if traded here, Regina Miller's swan song has been an amazing ride. Rick Carlisle deserves Coach of the Decade for getting them this far. And the scrubs who got them here deserve rings for their efforts.

(the other four startes would be Karla Malone, John Starks, Danny Ainge and Gary Payton).

--There's no one else here that I'd enjoy seeing win, so we're down to the lesser of all evils stage.

6 - PHILADELPHIA 76'ers

Mom factor. I grew up in Philadelphia. So we'll put them here.

7 - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

The underdog factor at work here, plus I like saying "Pau!" really loud, although their fans have not suffered nearly long enough. If they were still in Vancouver, they'd be above Philadelphia.

8 - WASHINGTON WIZARDS

Former Mavs Antawn Jamison and Etan Thomas, paired with some long-suffering fans make this a team I'd like to see win. They're fun to watch and have nice uniforms, too. :-)

Washington loses some points though, for stealing the Expos. Had they not, they too would be above Philly.

9 - CHICAGO BULLS

Yeah they were pitiful for a while there, but they won like a gazillion titles not so long ago. It's good to see an organization build the right way and play a fundamentally-sound style of basketball. It's exciting to see a coach play rookies and see success. It wouldn't kill us to see Chicago win it all, (after all, they do have former Mav Adrian Griffin) but they really haven't suffered enough to warrant it just yet.

10 - DETROIT PISTONS

We still love Larry Brown.

11 - BROOKLYN NETS

JKidd is a bad human being. Vince Carter admitted tanking it in Toronto. They deserve nothing. Their fans, however took the high hard one this past offseason and were not even kissed. The team traded away all the assets they could, announced a shiny new arena over in NY and they lost one of their most popular players to a season-long injury. Yet here they are. This ranking is for the fans alone.

--now we're down to the teams I outright do not want to see win a champtionship. Ever.

12 - BOSTON CELTICS

My strange Antoine Walker fascination notwithstanding, I grew up a Sixers fan. It's against the rules to ever root for the Celtics.

13 - SEATTLE SUPERSONICS

I've never liked this team. Just never have. They're like that kid in school that you never met or got to know, never had anything specific against. But you just didn't like him. You didn't wish him ill. But you just didn't like him.

14 - SACRAMENTO QUEENS

For at least another week or so, they are still a part of the upper echelon of the conference. By definition, I am not to pull for them. We like Peja and Bobby Jax, and we recently discovered that Cuttino Mobely went to our high school in Philadelphia, But they're the Kings. Rooting for them is against the rules. Until they suck again or -- perish the thought! - we do.

15 - HOUSTON ROCKETTES

Division rival, Texas team and they traded Jim Jackson away. Pick your reason.

16 - SAN ANTONIO SPURS

They are Dallas' primary competition for a title. They are a division rival. They are an intra-state rival (trust me, if you ever lived in Texas you would know how important this is). I don't care if they are nice guys. I don't care if they play the "right way". I don't care if Tim Duncan is a stand-up guy. I am a Dallas Mavericks fan. I will never, ever, ever evereverever pull for the San Antonio Spurs to win the NBA tile.

Until next time,
paz

...while wonering what ever happened to Larry O'Brien

or, "The Beautiful Season".

The Playoffs are upon us and it is time to flex our prognostical muscles.

By and large, our preseason playoff projections were on target. We missed on the Timberwolves tumble and the Sonics surge (like you didn't too), and we had Cleveland in and Brooklyn out. Beyond those stumbles, we were dead-on. Let's see how we fare from here:

(L)EASTERN CONFERENCE

Round One

(1) Miami Heat vs (8) Brooklyn Nets

We had Jersey finishing last in the Least. This team making it to the Dance is nothing short of amazing. OK, New Cavs owner Dan Gilbert going all Mark Cuban (without the hoops savvy) on his organization had just as much to do with it. Still, I didn't see this one coming.

Miami has proven what we have said all along: the only irreplaceable player in the NBA is one Shaquille O'Neal. Look at LA. Now look at Miami. Now look at LA again. It's ok to smile.

Miami in 5

_____

(2) Detroit Pistons vs (7) Philadelphia 76'ers

There's just not that much of interest here. This series will be what it is supposed to be. A 2 seed is supposed to thrash a 7 seed. AI vs Larry Brown? Been there, done that. They made up at the Olympics. The C-Webb effect? Please. He's one of the worst locker room guys in the league. Now that worthlessness is matched by his performance on the court.

The Sixers are right back where they started: Allen Iverson and a bunch of scrubs. The only reason they are in the post season is because Iverson treats every game like the seventh game of the NBA Finals. Over the course of an 82-game series, that attitude will win you enough games to make it to the playoffs. In the playoffs, it just keeps you up with the Joneses (or the Browns), and then it all comes down to talent.

Detroit in 5

_____

(3) Boston Celtics vs (6) Indian Pacers

Brawl. There, it's out of the way. Henceforth there will be no mention of the Malice of Auburn Hills. The real story of this Indiana season is that Rick Carlisle started Eddie Gill, Fred Jones, James Jones, Britton Johnsen and something called David Harrison nine times. He used 52 different starting lineups -- in an 82-game season. Everyone and their dog was either hurt or suspended at some point during the campaign. Still, our preseason pick to win it all is in the playoffs.

In Boston, Danny Ainge ate crow and Employee Number 8 came to the rescue of an otherwise forgettable Celtic season. By all rights, a number three seed -- a division winner for crying out loud -- should win this series easily. Not.

Indiana in 7

_______________________________

(4) Washington Wizards vs (5) Chicago Bulls

This is what I call the litmus test series. If you are not from Chicago or Washington and this is still the most interesting Round One series to you, you are a true NBA fan. You understand the history of these teams. You understand their seasons. In short, you actually follow the league through the 82 game grind and don't just tolerated it until you can get to the "good stuff" in the spring.

The last time Washington made the playoffs, they were Bullets. They lost that 1997 opening-round series to these same (well not these same) Bulls, 0-3. Since then they have been through seven coaches, two General Managers, seven losing (and one barely winning) seasons, one Legend, one name change and countless rebuilding programs. In short, they have been exactly what a bad organization is: unstable, disappointing and perpetually awful. Over the last two years though, they have been slowly putting it together. They have a young, interesting nucleus, and for the first time since their 1978 championship season, the future looks good in the Capitol.

Since that 1997 Washington/Chicago series, the Bulls have been through four coaches, two General Managers, six losing seasons (albeit preceded by a championship), one Legend, one annoyingly-persistent nickname and countless rebuilding programs. They too have been the picture of a franchise in disarray that has gotten their act together, and once again the IncrediBulls have a bright future.

This is what NBA fans love. Neither of these teams is going to the Conference Finals, let alone spending their summer getting sized for rings. This post-season run will be all about getting some experience and learning all about life in the playoffs. It will be a hard-fought, exciting series. What a 4-5 matchup should be.

Injuries will be the difference.

Washington in 7

_________________________________________________________________

WESTERN CONFERENCE
Round One

(1) Phoenix Suns vs (8) Memphis Grizzlies

In our preview we had Phoenix right at the top of the conference. They did not disappoint.

Neither did Memphis, who overcame a rocky start and got to the playoffs, along the way confirming another preseason prediction : that the Pistons' defensive-minded championship run would lead to someone hiring The Czar. He was a good fit here.

This will go as a 1-8 matchup should.

Phoenix in 5

_____


(2) San Antonio Spurs vs (7) Denver Nuggets

The Spurs are the Spurs. They win.

We also had Denver in the upper echelon of the conference, in our preview. If not for the horrible handling of the Jeff Bzdelik firing, they would be.

Tim Duncan's ankle will have a lot to do with the outcome of this series. The Nuggs are loaded, but inexperienced. Voshon Leonard went down on Opening Night and will return for Game One. That's not enough time to help. Furious George and the boys will give the Spurs a scare, but they're still a season away from a deep run.

San Antonio in 7

_____

(3) Seattle SuperSonics vs (6) Sacramento Queens

I'm calling this the Honorary Eastern Conference Series. Honestly, if either of these teams played any other Western Conference team, I'd call it a sweep against. This series is a travesty. This is all the validation one needs for a system whereby winning ones division should guarantee nothing other than a playoff spot.

Someone has to win this piece of garbage, so we'll go with who is healthier.

Seattle in 7

_____

(4) Dallas Mavericks vs (5) Houston Rockets

And now we know who gets screwed under the new system. To get to the finals, Dallas will have to go through Houston, Phoenix and San Antonio. Then they would get Miami or Detroit. That's just not right. If Denver had not mishandled the Bzdelik issue, the Mavs would most-assuredly have had Denver in the first round, leaving the Spurs route as Houston, Sea/Sac, Dal/Pho. The system needs to change.

As for this series, the Rockettes made some decent midseason changes, but they made some bad ones too. They're a good team, but they have two stars and ten role players. If those two stars were MJ and Scottie the Sidekick, great. Unfortunately, in this case the two stars are Tracy McGrady, who freely admits he dogged it in Orlando and Yao Ming, who is a serviceable center, at best. You can't turn excellence on and off. This team lucked into the five seed, and their weaknesses will be exposed in this series.

In Dallas you have the hottest team in the league. And the deepest.

Dallas in 5

_____________________________________________________________

We'll analyze the rest of the postseason in more detail after each round, (since we'll probably have to revise it all because of our ineptitude), but here's a preview of what's to come:

Miami over Washington (the Shaq and Flash show rolls on)
Detroit over Indiana (in seven)
San Antonio over Seattle (in three, via a special league dispensation)
Dallas over Phoenix

Miami over Detroit
Dallas over San Antonio

Miami Heat win the NBA Championship over the Dallas Mavericks, in 6.

Until next time,
paz



17 April 2005

...while wondering what ever happened to Dick Motta:

Or The Final Word on Nellie v. AJ.

Upon first hearing of Don Nelson's resignation as head coach of the Dallas Mavericks, my initial reaction was one of shock, followed quickly by disbelief, then anguish. The Five Steps had begun. You see, I'm Old School when it comes to my sports teams. I fall in love with my players, and I fall hard. Hell, I was sad to see Sasha Danilovic leave back in 1997. By and large, this applies to my coaches too, though to a lesser degree.

Now that I have had time to think it over and get a glimpse at Life After Nellie, here are my thoughts:

When Don Nelson came to the Dallas Mavericks on 7 February 1997, his roster consisted of A.C. Green, Sam Cassell, a raw Michael Finley, Oliver Miller, Fred Roberts, Jamal Mashburn, Jim Jackson, Eric Montross, George McCloud, Chris Gattling, Samaki Walker and the then-374 year-old Derek Harper. Today the team has exactly one player on its roster that was actually drafted by the team -- Josh Howard, who looks more and more like the next Scottie Pippen, without the menstrual cramps. In 1996, the roster above finished 26-56. The dream of the Three J's had died. The significance of all of this is that through the virtually exclusive use of trades and acquisitions, Don Nelson turned that roster into a perennial playoff team and potential title contender. Having taken both Milwaukee and Golden State from the lottery to deep playoff runs previously (after picking up six rings with the Celtics), pedigree is not a question here. The man was one of the best things to ever happen to the Mavericks' organization.

Centered around the Big Three of Nash, Nowitzki and Finley, Dallas once again had a professional basketball team. Nellie Ball was one of the most exciting, entertaining and successful brands in the league. He was an offensive savant and the master of the mismatch. Where else could you see Shawn Bradley covering Jason Kidd? Or Tim Hardaway post up Shaq? Classic. The case for Nellie is not hard to make.

Still, no matter how good a coach is, the time comes for a new voice. This transition had been building for a while. With the players he had acquired, Nelson had committed to playing out this string by trying to out-gun everyone to an NBA title. And this philosophy is not as far-fetched as one would think. According to statistics at nba.com, in the last twenty years, the team with the stingiest defense won the championship ten times. The team with the most potent offense did it nine times. The other was the 1987 Lakers, who had both.

While Nellie was content to talk about defense, the owner wanted action. This first, amazingly unmentioned change in the structure of the organization was Don being essentially removed from his position of General Manager, with Young Nellie taking over as Director of Player Personnel. While the media may not have made mention of it, it surely did not escape the notice of the players.

Push finally came to shove with the departure of Steve Nash. The team had traded the reigning Sixth Man of the Year for the draft rights to a defense-first point guard. Then Cuban let Nash walk away, getting absolutely nothing in return. Nelson would later say, "a piece of me died the day Steve left." The handwriting was on the wall.

Two years ago, when Avery Johnson was a Mav for the first time, he was left off the playoff roster spending the run to the Western Conference Finals on the bench right next to Don Nelson, as an assistant. After playing a year in Golden State, AJ returned this season to the Mavs first as a player-coach, then as a full-time assistant.

Johnson ran all practices, film sessions and a handful of games, and handled himself pretty well. So well, that Nellie decided to take a month off to undergo rotator cuff surgery. This provided an excellent -- hell, unprecedented -- opportunity to get a look at Johnson for an extended time. Again, Johnson did well. Let's put this in perspective though. Larry Brown came back faster from hip replacement surgery than Nellie did from rotator cuff work. I myself have a torn labrum that will eventually require surgery. I am putting it off because my only form of transportation is a motorcycle and I need both arms to operate it. I can do this because, while painful at times, a torn rotator cuff (which is actually a combination of ligaments) is not life-and-death. The only reason Nellie took the time off was to groom AJ. Even then, he could have been back at work the day after surgery if he had wanted to be. The final signal that Nellie was eyeing the door was his leave of absence to be with his wife for non-life threatening surgery.

Now, there's a lot to be said for what Nellie did during the first half of the season. I mean, did you see Pat Riley hand the wheel over to Stan Van Gundy for a few weeks before resigning in Miami? Could you see Pat Riley doing it? It was a classy thing to do. And it worked. Cuban has since said that he never would have given the job to Johnson if he had not had the opportunity to show his skills during the de-facto tryout. While the test drive was without precedent, the idea of grooming one's replacement was not. Back in 1976, having just retired as a player, Don Nelson was talked out of becoming a referee by Milwaukee Bucks coach Larry Costello, who convinced Nelson to become his assistant. Eighteen games into the season, Costello quit and Nellie was in the Big Chair. With that in mind, I wouldn't put it past Nelson to have begun orchestrating his own departure about three minutes after the ink dried on Nash's Phoenix deal.

But Nellie did even more here. He walked right before a soft stretch on the schedule, so AJ would start off on a bit of a roll. And most importantly, since everyone in the organization knew he was not going to return next season, he saved Cuban from himself. Mark Cuban likes shiny new toys. And Phil Jackson will be the shiniest this off-season. He would also be a horrible choice to coach this team. Mark and Phil would be Jerry/Jimmy II, without the rings. Until Phil Jackson takes a team from the lottery to the Promised Land, he will always be a one-dimensional coach. How many titles does he have without Jordan or Shaq? By quitting mid-season, Nellie short-circuited any temptation Cubes could have been felled by.

In the days following the change, I came to see it as a good thing, for the reasons I have listed here. Another is that this season was never supposed to be about chasing a title. This has always been a transition year: Nash to Harris, run and gun to a balanced attack, match up hell to convention. From looking like this year's Suns to every year's Spurs. Without the yawns. And this change flows naturally from all of that. Avery Johnson is more Greg Popovic than Don Nelson. So my thinking was, "this is good. Let the new guy get a stretch drive under his belt, get the feel of a round or two in the playoffs and gear it up for next season, looking to make a legitimate run."

But a funny thing happened. Avery's Mavs are 14-2 since the change. Players have come out and said he has taken them to a new level. They put a 36-point thrashing on the Spurs. And if not for two post-Nellie return slumps, that 2 game deficit for the division lead could very well be a surplus. There are whispers in the national media of this being the team to come out of the West -- this season.

Until Don Nelson came to the Dallas Mavericks, I never honestly thought they would ever compete for an NBA championship. I actually started a breakup letter to Elsa Monterroso, "I liken spending my life with you to the Dallas Mavericks winning an NBA title. Their history is ugly, their organization a mess, their outlook gloomy. But outside of the birth of my daughter, it would be the single greatest moment of my life."

I will always be grateful to Don Nelson for what he brought to my dream.

But until the last two weeks or so, I never thought Dallas could realistically compete for an NBA championship this year. Right now, the only team that concerns me at all in the West is San Antonio. Between them and Miami and Detroit, I'd put even money on all four. And I just don't think that would be the case if Avery Johnson had not taken the reins.

Going forward, asie from X's and O's, Johnson would do well to take from Nelson his ability to relate to his players. Nellie lived for reclaimation projects. Not physical ones, those are easy. A guy can play or he can't. No, Nelson seemed to thrive on taking in locker room lawyers and coach killers and turning them into model citizens. Christian Laettner: head case, problem child. Came here and you didn't hear a peep. Tim Hardaway: bad guy. Nary a problem. Antoine Walker: ballhog, chucker -- ok, he did shoot a lot, but not as much. And he learned to pass. And of course, the mother of all reclaimation projects, Nick Van Exel. Not only did this guy behave, he single-handedly carried the team to the Western Conference Finals. Add to that the likes of Antawn Jamison, Jerry Stackhouse and the aforementioned NVE embracing sixth-man roles and you truly have a coach who knows how to get the most from the team he coaches.

Johnson has the passion. Time will tell if he has the prudence. Calling a timeout with three minutes left in a game you lead by fifteen points, so you can berate your team for a defensive lapse is alright in your fourth game, when you're trying to set priorities. Doing so in your one hundred-fourth makes you George Karl, a coach who will get fantastic short-term results, but will eventually lose his team when they tune out the screaming.

My guess is Johnson will be just fine.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
And the winners are:

MVP:
1) Shaquille O'Neal
---Look at the Heat compared to last year. Now look at the Lakers.
2) Steve Nash
---If the Mavs had faltered, maybe he gets my vote.
3) Dirk Nowitzki
---The greatest player to never have won the award. That ends next year.
4) Allen Iverson
---Before the C-Webb trade, name another Sixer. OK, name another.
5) Tim Duncann
---Solid.

Rookie of the Year:
1) Emeka Okafor
---No one else for opponents to fear on an expansion squad, and he averages a double-double.
2) Ben Gordon
---Our preseason pick is going to the playoffs.
3) Dwight Howard
---Is not.

Coach of the Year:
1) Rick Carlisle
---He had to start Eddie Gill, Fred Jones, James Jones, Britton Johnsen and something called David Harrison. On multiple occasions. And they're still going to the playoffs.
2) Mike D'Antoni
---The record speaks for itself.
3) Scott Skiles
---From 0-9 and another deck-clearing off-season to home court in the first round.
*Sorry Nate, we don't give half-season awards. Even if we did, it would go to Furious George.

Sixth Man of the Year:
1) Jerry Stackhouse
---Sure he missed 21 games, but he's a sixth man. It's not like he should be penalized for not playing.
2) Ben Gordon
---Let's see if he can be Wade-like in year two.
3) Earl Boykins
---Horrific Nuggs start hurt his case.

Defensive Payer of the Year:
I'm an allas fan. What the hell do I know about this? Seriously, I went to nba.com and looked at defensive rebounds, steals and blocks and came up with the usual suspects: Wallace, Bowen, blah, blah, blah. Well, this approach completely disregards the subtleties so I am just going with the guys I like watching play D most.
1) Eduardo Najera
---Takes charges like a he's a 4'3" kid from Pocatello, Idaho trying to walk-on at Duke.
2) Shaq
---When he does not want you to score on him, you will not. End of story.
3) Ben Wallace
---The 'fro alone does it for me. But he also truly derives pleasure from blocking a shot into the 47th row. Of the upper deck.

Most Improved:
1) Grant Hill
---He almost died last year -- literally. He played in the All-Star Game this year.
2) Dwayne Wade
---Rookie splash to sophomore "Flash"
3) Dan Dikau
---Tell me you knew who he was at the start of the season.

ALL-NBA (1st, 2nd, 3rd-team)
PG: Nash, Iverson, Jason Kidd (hate to do it, but he kept 'em afloat until the VC trade)
SG: Wade, LeBron James, Ray Allen
SF: Shawn Marion, Antawn Jamison, Paul Pierce
PF: Nowitzki, Duncan, Andre Kirilenko
C: Shaq, Amare Stoudemire, Wallace

And finally, Five Guys on Sucky Teams that Deserve Something for Their Toils:

PG: Baron Davis, Warriors
---Notwithstanding the "bad teams win a log early and a lot late" rule, he brought a much-needed spark to the Bay Area
SG: Kobe Bryant, Los Angeles Lakes
---It may not be what he wanted, but it sure as hell is what I wanted.
SF: Pau Gasol, Memphis Grizzlies
---Poor man's Peja
PF: Chris Bosh, Toronto Raptors
---Solid follow-up to a strong rookie campaign
C: Pape Sow, Toronto Raptors
---No one else was worthy, and we have a friend named Pape.

Until next time,
Paz

16 April 2005

...while wondering what ever happened to Anne Geddes

My photography -- Click Above

*more to come, so check back.

...while wondering what ever happened to Marion Ross

Well, now we get to see if my musings are nearly as entertaining/informative/insightful to others as they seem to be to me. I guess there are a few things I should explain about myself first. This whole blog thing is kind of parodoxical to me. On one hand I am thinking who in the world cares about what I have to say, while on the other hand, I feel like I have things to say to the world that they simply must hear. Ego run amok. Smart money is on the former theory, yet here I am.

I'm street-smart, and fairly well-read but didn't finish college. I have a strict code of morals, but don't follow it nearly as closely as I should. I desperately want to succeed, yet throw myself under the bus at every opportunity. I suppose there's a lot of this in all of us, but having the window into but my own soul, I'm all I have to judge me on.

I have passionate beliefs, but I respect the oppinions of others. I have a decent vocabulary, but am a horrible speller. My grammar is horrific, as you will see if you choose to go on this journey with me.

I believe in unconditional friendship, seek unconditional love. I truly believe that all of us are equal in the eyes of He who created us and have no tollerance for those who do not.

This world has so much in it that seems to drag us down. If things I post can bring a smile to your face, an idea to your mind, a conviction from thought to action, then this will all be worth it.

If it ends up that I am the only one who ever reads it, that's ok too. I'll just share with all the voices inside my head.

Until next time,
Paz...